Zagłębie Lubin II vs Legnica II Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Zagłębie Lubin II vs Legnica II
Model pick: Legnica II (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.98 – 1.47
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zagłębie Lubin II | Legnica II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.4 | 2.4 / 2.2 |
*Zagłębie Lubin II shown at home, Legnica II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zagłębie Lubin II — last 5
LLWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Legnica II — last 5
WWLLD
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 80% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zagłębie Lubin II (home) | Legnica II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 80% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 67%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.98 vs 1.47):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Zagłębie Lubin II or draw (1X) | 52% |
| Double chance — Legnica II or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Zagłębie Lubin II clean sheet | 23% |
| Legnica II clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Legnica II is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Despite playing away, Legnica II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zagłębie Lubin II vs Legnica II — FAQ
Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Legnica II?
Our statistical model makes Legnica II the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Zagłębie Lubin II 26%, draw 27%, Legnica II 46%.
Will both teams score in Zagłębie Lubin II vs Legnica II?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Zagłębie Lubin II vs Legnica II?
Expected goals are 0.98 for Zagłębie Lubin II and 1.47 for Legnica II — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zagłębie Lubin II vs Legnica II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (13%). Double chance for Zagłębie Lubin II or draw is 52%.