Zagłębie Lubin II vs Rakow II Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Zagłębie Lubin II vs Rakow II
Model pick: Zagłębie Lubin II (69%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.74 – 0.28
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 37%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zagłębie Lubin II | Rakow II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 2.2 | 2.25 / 3.25 |
*Zagłębie Lubin II shown at home, Rakow II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zagłębie Lubin II — last 5
LLLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Rakow II — last 5
DLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zagłębie Lubin II (home) | Rakow II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 100% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.74 vs 0.28):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (23%) |
| Double chance — Zagłębie Lubin II or draw (1X) | 95% |
| Double chance — Rakow II or draw (X2) | 26% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Zagłębie Lubin II clean sheet | 76% |
| Rakow II clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zagłębie Lubin II is the model's most likely outcome at
69%. Zagłębie Lubin II are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Zagłębie Lubin II vs Rakow II — FAQ
Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Rakow II?
Our statistical model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the most likely result at 69%. Full probabilities: Zagłębie Lubin II 69%, draw 23%, Rakow II 8%.
Will both teams score in Zagłębie Lubin II vs Rakow II?
The model gives a 37% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Zagłębie Lubin II vs Rakow II?
Expected goals are 1.74 for Zagłębie Lubin II and 0.28 for Rakow II — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zagłębie Lubin II vs Rakow II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (23%). Double chance for Zagłębie Lubin II or draw is 95%.