Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo
Model pick: Zagorets (95%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.1 – 0.15
Total goals: 4.2
Over 2.5: 69%
Both teams score: 32%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zagorets | Levski Karlovo |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.25 | 0.25 / 3.25 |
*Zagorets shown at home, Levski Karlovo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zagorets — last 5
DDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Levski Karlovo — last 5
LLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zagorets (home) | Levski Karlovo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.08
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.1 vs 0.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Zagorets or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Levski Karlovo or draw (X2) | 3% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Zagorets clean sheet | 86% |
| Levski Karlovo clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zagorets is the model's most likely outcome at
95%. Zagorets are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.2, this shapes as an open game (69% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo — FAQ
Who will win Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo?
Our statistical model makes Zagorets the most likely result at 95%. Full probabilities: Zagorets 95%, draw 4%, Levski Karlovo 1%.
Will both teams score in Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo?
The model gives a 32% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo?
Expected goals are 4.1 for Zagorets and 0.15 for Levski Karlovo — about 4.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (17%). Double chance for Zagorets or draw is 100%.