Zalaegerszegi II vs Dorogi Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Zalaegerszegi II vs Dorogi
Model pick: Dorogi (100%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.42 – 13.79
Total goals: 14.2
Over 2.5: 31%
Both teams score: 24%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zalaegerszegi II | Dorogi |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 2.25 | 4.25 / 0.25 |
*Zalaegerszegi II shown at home, Dorogi shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zalaegerszegi II — last 5
LLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Dorogi — last 5
WWDW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zalaegerszegi II (home) | Dorogi (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.42 vs 13.79):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-8 (32%) |
| Double chance — Zalaegerszegi II or draw (1X) | 0% |
| Double chance — Dorogi or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Zalaegerszegi II clean sheet | 0% |
| Dorogi clean sheet | 66% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dorogi is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Despite playing away, Dorogi edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (69% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zalaegerszegi II vs Dorogi — FAQ
Who will win Zalaegerszegi II vs Dorogi?
Our statistical model makes Dorogi the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Zalaegerszegi II 0%, draw 0%, Dorogi 100%.
Will both teams score in Zalaegerszegi II vs Dorogi?
The model gives a 24% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Zalaegerszegi II vs Dorogi?
Expected goals are 0.42 for Zalaegerszegi II and 13.79 for Dorogi — about 14.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zalaegerszegi II vs Dorogi?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-8 (32%). Double chance for Zalaegerszegi II or draw is 0%.