Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvaros Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvaros
Model pick: Ferencvaros (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.99 – 1.75
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zalaegerszegi TE | Ferencvaros |
|---|
| League position | #10 (3 pts) | #12 (15 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 5.0 / 2.0 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 2.2 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
*Zalaegerszegi TE shown at home, Ferencvaros shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zalaegerszegi TE — last 5
WWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Ferencvaros — last 5
LDDWL
On the road: clean sheet 35% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zalaegerszegi TE (home) | Ferencvaros (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (5.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 2-1-1 in 4 (1.2 / 1.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 54% |
| Top scorer | – | Lenny Joseph (2) |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.82
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.99 vs 1.75):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Zalaegerszegi TE or draw (1X) | 45% |
| Double chance — Ferencvaros or draw (X2) | 79% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Zalaegerszegi TE clean sheet | 17% |
| Ferencvaros clean sheet | 37% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ferencvaros is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Despite playing away, Ferencvaros edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvaros — FAQ
Who will win Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvaros?
Our statistical model makes Ferencvaros the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Zalaegerszegi TE 23%, draw 25%, Ferencvaros 52%.
Will both teams score in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvaros?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvaros?
Expected goals are 0.99 for Zalaegerszegi TE and 1.75 for Ferencvaros — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvaros?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (11%). Double chance for Zalaegerszegi TE or draw is 45%.