Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Aug 03, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE
Model pick: Paksi SE (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.5 – 1.64
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zalaegerszegi TE | Paksi SE |
|---|
| League position | #12 (0 pts) | #2 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.8 | 3.0 / 2.2 |
*Zalaegerszegi TE shown at home, Paksi SE shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zalaegerszegi TE — last 5
WDWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Paksi SE — last 5
WWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zalaegerszegi TE (home) | Paksi SE (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 60% |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.81
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.5 vs 1.64):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Zalaegerszegi TE or draw (1X) | 59% |
| Double chance — Paksi SE or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Zalaegerszegi TE clean sheet | 19% |
| Paksi SE clean sheet | 22% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Paksi SE is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Despite playing away, Paksi SE edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE — FAQ
Who will win Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE?
Our statistical model makes Paksi SE the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Zalaegerszegi TE 32%, draw 26%, Paksi SE 43%.
Will both teams score in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE?
Expected goals are 1.5 for Zalaegerszegi TE and 1.64 for Paksi SE — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Zalaegerszegi TE or draw is 59%.