Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskás Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskás
Model pick: Puskás (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.2 – 1.36
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zalaegerszegi TE | Puskás |
|---|
| League position | #12 (3 pts) | #1 (12 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.5 / 1.5 | 2.0 / 0.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.4 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
*Zalaegerszegi TE shown at home, Puskás shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zalaegerszegi TE — last 5
WLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Puskás — last 5
WLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zalaegerszegi TE (home) | Puskás (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-1 in 2 (2.5 / 1.5 goals per game) | 3-0-0 in 3 (2.0 / 0.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 51% |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.82
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.2 vs 1.36):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Zalaegerszegi TE or draw (1X) | 59% |
| Double chance — Puskás or draw (X2) | 67% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Zalaegerszegi TE clean sheet | 26% |
| Puskás clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Puskás is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Despite playing away, Puskás edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskás — FAQ
Who will win Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskás?
Our statistical model makes Puskás the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Zalaegerszegi TE 33%, draw 28%, Puskás 40%.
Will both teams score in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskás?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskás?
Expected goals are 1.2 for Zalaegerszegi TE and 1.36 for Puskás — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskás?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Zalaegerszegi TE or draw is 59%.