Zamora vs Academia Puerto Cabello Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Venezuela) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (VENEZUELA)
Zamora vs Academia Puerto Cabello
Model pick: Academia Puerto Cabello (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
38%
Academia Puerto Cabello
Expected goals: 0.96 – 1.1
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zamora | Academia Puerto Cabello |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
*Zamora shown at home, Academia Puerto Cabello shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zamora — last 5
LWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Academia Puerto Cabello — last 5
WDLLW
On the road: clean sheet 32% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zamora (home) | Academia Puerto Cabello (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 42% |
Primera Division (Venezuela) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.46
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Primera Division (Venezuela) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.96 vs 1.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Zamora or draw (1X) | 61% |
| Double chance — Academia Puerto Cabello or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Zamora clean sheet | 33% |
| Academia Puerto Cabello clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Academia Puerto Cabello is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Academia Puerto Cabello edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Zamora vs Academia Puerto Cabello — FAQ
Who will win Zamora vs Academia Puerto Cabello?
Our statistical model makes Academia Puerto Cabello the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Zamora 32%, draw 31%, Academia Puerto Cabello 38%.
Will both teams score in Zamora vs Academia Puerto Cabello?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Zamora vs Academia Puerto Cabello?
Expected goals are 0.96 for Zamora and 1.1 for Academia Puerto Cabello — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zamora vs Academia Puerto Cabello?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for Zamora or draw is 61%.