Zamora vs Athletic Club II Prediction & Preview
Segunda B (Spain) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 17:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SEGUNDA B (SPAIN)
Zamora vs Athletic Club II
Model pick: Zamora (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.45 – 0.84
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zamora | Athletic Club II |
|---|
| League position | #8 (0 pts) | #7 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 0.6 |
*Zamora shown at home, Athletic Club II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zamora — last 5
WWLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 45% of the time; 38% of home games go over 2.5.
Athletic Club II — last 5
WWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 43% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zamora (home) | Athletic Club II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 45% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 43% |
Segunda B (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.26
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Segunda B (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.45 vs 0.84):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Zamora or draw (1X) | 78% |
| Double chance — Athletic Club II or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Zamora clean sheet | 43% |
| Athletic Club II clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zamora is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Zamora are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zamora vs Athletic Club II — FAQ
Who will win Zamora vs Athletic Club II?
Our statistical model makes Zamora the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Zamora 48%, draw 28%, Athletic Club II 24%.
Will both teams score in Zamora vs Athletic Club II?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Zamora vs Athletic Club II?
Expected goals are 1.45 for Zamora and 0.84 for Athletic Club II — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zamora vs Athletic Club II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Zamora or draw is 78%.