Zamora vs UD Logroñés Prediction & Preview
Segunda B (Spain) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SEGUNDA B (SPAIN)
Zamora vs UD Logroñés
Model pick: Zamora (43%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.11 – 0.7
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 37%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zamora | UD Logroñés |
|---|
| League position | #8 (0 pts) | #14 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.0 | 2.8 / 0.6 |
*Zamora shown at home, UD Logroñés shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zamora — last 5
WLDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 45% of the time; 38% of home games go over 2.5.
UD Logroñés — last 5
WLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 41% of the time; 36% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zamora (home) | UD Logroñés (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 45% | 41% |
| Both teams scored | 39% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 36% |
Segunda B (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.26
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Segunda B (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.11 vs 0.7):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (18%) |
| Double chance — Zamora or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — UD Logroñés or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 54% / 46% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Zamora clean sheet | 50% |
| UD Logroñés clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zamora is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Zamora are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (63% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zamora vs UD Logroñés — FAQ
Who will win Zamora vs UD Logroñés?
Our statistical model makes Zamora the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Zamora 43%, draw 32%, UD Logroñés 25%.
Will both teams score in Zamora vs UD Logroñés?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Zamora vs UD Logroñés?
Expected goals are 1.11 for Zamora and 0.7 for UD Logroñés — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zamora vs UD Logroñés?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (18%). Double chance for Zamora or draw is 77%.