Zapy vs Bohemians 1905 Prediction & Preview
Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECHIA CUP (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Zapy vs Bohemians 1905
Model pick: Bohemians 1905 (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.0 – 2.92
Total goals: 4.9
Over 2.5: 75%
Both teams score: 69%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zapy | Bohemians 1905 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #11 (5 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.7 / 1.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
*Zapy shown at home, Bohemians 1905 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zapy — last 5
DWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Bohemians 1905 — last 5
LDWDW
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zapy (home) | Bohemians 1905 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 1-1-1 in 3 (1.7 / 1.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 44% |
Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.89
Home wins: 32%
Draws: 1%
Away wins: 67%
Over 2.5: 76%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.0 vs 2.92):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (6%) |
| Double chance — Zapy or draw (1X) | 43% |
| Double chance — Bohemians 1905 or draw (X2) | 74% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Zapy clean sheet | 5% |
| Bohemians 1905 clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bohemians 1905 is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Despite playing away, Bohemians 1905 edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.9, this shapes as an open game (75% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zapy vs Bohemians 1905 — FAQ
Who will win Zapy vs Bohemians 1905?
Our statistical model makes Bohemians 1905 the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Zapy 27%, draw 19%, Bohemians 1905 54%.
Will both teams score in Zapy vs Bohemians 1905?
The model gives a 69% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Zapy vs Bohemians 1905?
Expected goals are 2.0 for Zapy and 2.92 for Bohemians 1905 — about 4.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zapy vs Bohemians 1905?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (6%). Double chance for Zapy or draw is 43%.