Zapy vs Jablonec B Prediction & Preview
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 3 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Zapy vs Jablonec B
Model pick: Zapy (82%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.22 – 0.13
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 29%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zapy | Jablonec B |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 0.4 | 2.6 / 0.4 |
*Zapy shown at home, Jablonec B shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zapy — last 5
DDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Jablonec B — last 5
WWWDW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zapy (home) | Jablonec B (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 33% |
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.04
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.22 vs 0.13):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (24%) |
| Double chance — Zapy or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — Jablonec B or draw (X2) | 14% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 87% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Zapy clean sheet | 88% |
| Jablonec B clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zapy is the model's most likely outcome at
82%. Zapy are backed at home, where they average 3.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zapy vs Jablonec B — FAQ
Who will win Zapy vs Jablonec B?
Our statistical model makes Zapy the most likely result at 82%. Full probabilities: Zapy 82%, draw 16%, Jablonec B 3%.
Will both teams score in Zapy vs Jablonec B?
The model gives a 29% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Zapy vs Jablonec B?
Expected goals are 2.22 for Zapy and 0.13 for Jablonec B — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zapy vs Jablonec B?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (24%). Double chance for Zapy or draw is 98%.