Zarzis vs Olympique Béja Prediction & Preview
Ligue 1 (Tunisia) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGUE 1 (TUNISIA)
Zarzis vs Olympique Béja
Model pick: Zarzis (55%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.56 – 0.66
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zarzis | Olympique Béja |
|---|
| League position | #12 (0 pts) | #9 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
*Zarzis shown at home, Olympique Béja shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zarzis — last 5
WLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 55% of the time; 23% of home games go over 2.5.
Olympique Béja — last 5
LWLWD
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 28% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zarzis (home) | Olympique Béja (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 55% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 26% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 23% | 28% |
Ligue 1 (Tunisia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 1.98
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 37%
Use these Ligue 1 (Tunisia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.56 vs 0.66):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Zarzis or draw (1X) | 84% |
| Double chance — Olympique Béja or draw (X2) | 41% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Zarzis clean sheet | 52% |
| Olympique Béja clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zarzis is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Zarzis are backed at home, where they average 0.9 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zarzis vs Olympique Béja — FAQ
Who will win Zarzis vs Olympique Béja?
Our statistical model makes Zarzis the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: Zarzis 55%, draw 27%, Olympique Béja 18%.
Will both teams score in Zarzis vs Olympique Béja?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Zarzis vs Olympique Béja?
Expected goals are 1.56 for Zarzis and 0.66 for Olympique Béja — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zarzis vs Olympique Béja?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (17%). Double chance for Zarzis or draw is 84%.