Zawisza vs Legia II Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 18:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Zawisza vs Legia II
Model pick: Zawisza (38%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.57 – 1.54
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zawisza | Legia II |
|---|
| League position | #4 (10 pts) | #10 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.3 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 67% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.2 | 2.4 / 1.4 |
*Zawisza shown at home, Legia II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zawisza — last 5
DLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Legia II — last 5
LLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zawisza (home) | Legia II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-1-0 in 3 (1.3 / 0.7 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.5 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.57 vs 1.54):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Zawisza or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — Legia II or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Zawisza clean sheet | 21% |
| Legia II clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zawisza is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Zawisza are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zawisza vs Legia II — FAQ
Who will win Zawisza vs Legia II?
Our statistical model makes Zawisza the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Zawisza 38%, draw 25%, Legia II 37%.
Will both teams score in Zawisza vs Legia II?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Zawisza vs Legia II?
Expected goals are 1.57 for Zawisza and 1.54 for Legia II — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zawisza vs Legia II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Zawisza or draw is 63%.