Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Králové Prediction & Preview
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECH LIGA (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Králové
Model pick: Hradec Králové (45%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.0 – 1.42
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zbrojovka Brno | Hradec Králové |
|---|
| League position | #7 (4 pts) | #5 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
*Zbrojovka Brno shown at home, Hradec Králové shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zbrojovka Brno — last 5
LWWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Hradec Králové — last 5
WWDLW
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zbrojovka Brno (home) | Hradec Králové (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.5 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 52% |
| Top scorer | – | Vladimir Darida (5) |
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.67
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.0 vs 1.42):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Zbrojovka Brno or draw (1X) | 53% |
| Double chance — Hradec Králové or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Zbrojovka Brno clean sheet | 24% |
| Hradec Králové clean sheet | 37% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hradec Králové is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Despite playing away, Hradec Králové edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Králové — FAQ
Who will win Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Králové?
Our statistical model makes Hradec Králové the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Zbrojovka Brno 28%, draw 28%, Hradec Králové 45%.
Will both teams score in Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Králové?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Králové?
Expected goals are 1.0 for Zbrojovka Brno and 1.42 for Hradec Králové — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Králové?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (13%). Double chance for Zbrojovka Brno or draw is 53%.