Zdar nad Sazavou vs Chotebor Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Zdar nad Sazavou vs Chotebor
Model pick: Zdar nad Sazavou (93%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.37 – 0.44
Total goals: 4.8
Over 2.5: 73%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zdar nad Sazavou | Chotebor |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 4.0 |
*Zdar nad Sazavou shown at home, Chotebor shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zdar nad Sazavou — last 5
LDWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Chotebor — last 5
LLDLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zdar nad Sazavou (home) | Chotebor (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.72
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 75%
BTTS: 67%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.37 vs 0.44):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Zdar nad Sazavou or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Chotebor or draw (X2) | 4% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Zdar nad Sazavou clean sheet | 64% |
| Chotebor clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zdar nad Sazavou is the model's most likely outcome at
93%. Zdar nad Sazavou are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.8, this shapes as an open game (73% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zdar nad Sazavou vs Chotebor — FAQ
Who will win Zdar nad Sazavou vs Chotebor?
Our statistical model makes Zdar nad Sazavou the most likely result at 93%. Full probabilities: Zdar nad Sazavou 93%, draw 5%, Chotebor 2%.
Will both teams score in Zdar nad Sazavou vs Chotebor?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Zdar nad Sazavou vs Chotebor?
Expected goals are 4.37 for Zdar nad Sazavou and 0.44 for Chotebor — about 4.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zdar nad Sazavou vs Chotebor?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (13%). Double chance for Zdar nad Sazavou or draw is 99%.