Zdirec n. D. vs Pelhrimov Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Zdirec n. D. vs Pelhrimov
Model pick: Pelhrimov (50%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.4 – 1.08
Total goals: 1.5
Over 2.5: 31%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zdirec n. D. | Pelhrimov |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.33 / 1.33 |
*Zdirec n. D. shown at home, Pelhrimov shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zdirec n. D. — last 5
WLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Pelhrimov — last 5
WDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zdirec n. D. (home) | Pelhrimov (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.65
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 71%
BTTS: 65%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.4 vs 1.08):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (25%) |
| Double chance — Zdirec n. D. or draw (1X) | 47% |
| Double chance — Pelhrimov or draw (X2) | 86% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 66% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 44% / 56% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| Zdirec n. D. clean sheet | 34% |
| Pelhrimov clean sheet | 67% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pelhrimov is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Despite playing away, Pelhrimov edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (69% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zdirec n. D. vs Pelhrimov — FAQ
Who will win Zdirec n. D. vs Pelhrimov?
Our statistical model makes Pelhrimov the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Zdirec n. D. 16%, draw 34%, Pelhrimov 50%.
Will both teams score in Zdirec n. D. vs Pelhrimov?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Zdirec n. D. vs Pelhrimov?
Expected goals are 0.4 for Zdirec n. D. and 1.08 for Pelhrimov — about 1.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zdirec n. D. vs Pelhrimov?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (25%). Double chance for Zdirec n. D. or draw is 47%.