Zemun vs Mladost Lučani Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
Zemun vs Mladost Lučani
Model pick: Mladost Lučani (58%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.65 – 1.66
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zemun | Mladost Lučani |
|---|
| League position | #14 (1 pts) | #8 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.5 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 0.8 |
*Zemun shown at home, Mladost Lučani shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zemun — last 5
WDLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 38% of home games go over 2.5.
Mladost Lučani — last 5
WDDDD
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 43% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zemun (home) | Mladost Lučani (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-1 in 2 (1.0 / 1.5 goals per game) | 0-2-0 in 2 (0.5 / 0.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 43% |
| Top scorer | – | Petar Bojic (4) |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.65 vs 1.66):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (16%) |
| Double chance — Zemun or draw (1X) | 38% |
| Double chance — Mladost Lučani or draw (X2) | 86% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Zemun clean sheet | 19% |
| Mladost Lučani clean sheet | 52% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Mladost Lučani is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Despite playing away, Mladost Lučani edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zemun vs Mladost Lučani — FAQ
Who will win Zemun vs Mladost Lučani?
Our statistical model makes Mladost Lučani the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Zemun 17%, draw 26%, Mladost Lučani 58%.
Will both teams score in Zemun vs Mladost Lučani?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Zemun vs Mladost Lučani?
Expected goals are 0.65 for Zemun and 1.66 for Mladost Lučani — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zemun vs Mladost Lučani?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (16%). Double chance for Zemun or draw is 38%.