Zemun vs Radnički Niš Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
Zemun vs Radnički Niš
Model pick: Radnički Niš (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.95 – 1.79
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zemun | Radnički Niš |
|---|
| League position | #6 (1 pts) | #10 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.8 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
*Zemun shown at home, Radnički Niš shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zemun — last 5
DLWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 38% of home games go over 2.5.
Radnički Niš — last 5
LWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 46% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zemun (home) | Radnički Niš (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (2.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 46% |
| Top scorer | – | Aleksandr Shestyuk (5) |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.95 vs 1.79):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Zemun or draw (1X) | 43% |
| Double chance — Radnički Niš or draw (X2) | 80% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Zemun clean sheet | 17% |
| Radnički Niš clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Radnički Niš is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Despite playing away, Radnički Niš edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zemun vs Radnički Niš — FAQ
Who will win Zemun vs Radnički Niš?
Our statistical model makes Radnički Niš the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Zemun 22%, draw 25%, Radnički Niš 54%.
Will both teams score in Zemun vs Radnički Niš?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Zemun vs Radnički Niš?
Expected goals are 0.95 for Zemun and 1.79 for Radnički Niš — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zemun vs Radnički Niš?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (12%). Double chance for Zemun or draw is 43%.