Zhejiang Greentown vs Chengdu Rongcheng Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 11:35 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Zhejiang Greentown vs Chengdu Rongcheng
Model pick: Chengdu Rongcheng (42%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.35 – 1.68
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 64%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zhejiang Greentown | Chengdu Rongcheng |
|---|
| League position | #8 (24 pts) | #1 (45 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 55% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.0 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
*Zhejiang Greentown shown at home, Chengdu Rongcheng shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zhejiang Greentown — last 5
LWDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 36% of the time; 64% of home games go over 2.5.
Chengdu Rongcheng — last 5
DDDDL
On the road: clean sheet 31% of the time; 46% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zhejiang Greentown (home) | Chengdu Rongcheng (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-3-2 in 10 (1.6 / 1.4 goals per game) | 6-3-2 in 11 (1.5 / 1.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 36% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 46% |
| Top scorer | Yudong Wang (8) | – |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.35 vs 1.68):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Zhejiang Greentown or draw (1X) | 55% |
| Double chance — Chengdu Rongcheng or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Zhejiang Greentown clean sheet | 19% |
| Chengdu Rongcheng clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chengdu Rongcheng is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Chengdu Rongcheng edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zhejiang Greentown vs Chengdu Rongcheng — FAQ
Who will win Zhejiang Greentown vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
Our statistical model makes Chengdu Rongcheng the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Zhejiang Greentown 33%, draw 25%, Chengdu Rongcheng 42%.
Will both teams score in Zhejiang Greentown vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
The model gives a 64% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Zhejiang Greentown vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
Expected goals are 1.35 for Zhejiang Greentown and 1.68 for Chengdu Rongcheng — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zhejiang Greentown vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Zhejiang Greentown or draw is 55%.