Zhejiang Greentown vs Dalian Yingbo Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Jul 26, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Zhejiang Greentown vs Dalian Yingbo
Model pick: Zhejiang Greentown (51%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.91 – 1.19
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zhejiang Greentown | Dalian Yingbo |
|---|
| League position | #8 (21 pts) | #3 (28 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 2.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 44% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.2 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
*Zhejiang Greentown shown at home, Dalian Yingbo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zhejiang Greentown — last 5
LDLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 63% of home games go over 2.5.
Dalian Yingbo — last 5
DLWWD
On the road: clean sheet 6% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zhejiang Greentown (home) | Dalian Yingbo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-3-2 in 9 (1.4 / 1.3 goals per game) | 2-1-5 in 8 (1.1 / 2.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 6% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 44% |
| Top scorer | Yudong Wang (7) | Cephas Malele (8) |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.91 vs 1.19):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Zhejiang Greentown or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Dalian Yingbo or draw (X2) | 46% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Zhejiang Greentown clean sheet | 30% |
| Dalian Yingbo clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zhejiang Greentown is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Zhejiang Greentown are backed at home, where they average 1.9 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zhejiang Greentown vs Dalian Yingbo — FAQ
Who will win Zhejiang Greentown vs Dalian Yingbo?
Our statistical model makes Zhejiang Greentown the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Zhejiang Greentown 51%, draw 24%, Dalian Yingbo 25%.
Will both teams score in Zhejiang Greentown vs Dalian Yingbo?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Zhejiang Greentown vs Dalian Yingbo?
Expected goals are 1.91 for Zhejiang Greentown and 1.19 for Dalian Yingbo — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zhejiang Greentown vs Dalian Yingbo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Zhejiang Greentown or draw is 76%.