Zhejiang Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Zhejiang Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun
Model pick: Zhejiang Greentown (45%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.13 – 1.73
Total goals: 3.9
Over 2.5: 65%
Both teams score: 67%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zhejiang Greentown | Yunnan Yukun |
|---|
| League position | #11 (25 pts) | #5 (35 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.6 / 1.5 | 1.9 / 2.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 45% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.8 | 2.6 / 2.0 |
*Zhejiang Greentown shown at home, Yunnan Yukun shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zhejiang Greentown — last 5
DWLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 36% of the time; 64% of home games go over 2.5.
Yunnan Yukun — last 5
WLWWD
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zhejiang Greentown (home) | Yunnan Yukun (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-3-3 in 11 (1.6 / 1.5 goals per game) | 3-3-6 in 12 (1.9 / 2.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 36% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 67% |
| Top scorer | Yudong Wang (8) | Oscar Taty Maritu (16) |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.13 vs 1.73):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Zhejiang Greentown or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Yunnan Yukun or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 54% / 46% |
| Zhejiang Greentown clean sheet | 18% |
| Yunnan Yukun clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zhejiang Greentown is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Zhejiang Greentown are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.9, this shapes as an open game (65% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zhejiang Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun — FAQ
Who will win Zhejiang Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
Our statistical model makes Zhejiang Greentown the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Zhejiang Greentown 45%, draw 23%, Yunnan Yukun 32%.
Will both teams score in Zhejiang Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
The model gives a 67% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Zhejiang Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
Expected goals are 2.13 for Zhejiang Greentown and 1.73 for Yunnan Yukun — about 3.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zhejiang Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (8%). Double chance for Zhejiang Greentown or draw is 68%.