Zielona Gora vs Hutnik Kraków Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 12:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Zielona Gora vs Hutnik Kraków
Model pick: Zielona Gora (53%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.44 – 1.6
Total goals: 4.0
Over 2.5: 67%
Both teams score: 64%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zielona Gora | Hutnik Kraków |
|---|
| League position | #11 (5 pts) | #1 (10 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 1.3 | 2.5 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.6 | 2.0 / 0.8 |
*Zielona Gora shown at home, Hutnik Kraków shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zielona Gora — last 5
LDDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Hutnik Kraków — last 5
DWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zielona Gora (home) | Hutnik Kraków (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-2-0 in 3 (3.0 / 1.3 goals per game) | 1-1-0 in 2 (2.5 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 83% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 45% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.44 vs 1.6):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Zielona Gora or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Double chance — Hutnik Kraków or draw (X2) | 44% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Zielona Gora clean sheet | 20% |
| Hutnik Kraków clean sheet | 9% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zielona Gora is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Zielona Gora are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.0, this shapes as an open game (67% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Zielona Gora vs Hutnik Kraków — FAQ
Who will win Zielona Gora vs Hutnik Kraków?
Our statistical model makes Zielona Gora the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Zielona Gora 53%, draw 21%, Hutnik Kraków 26%.
Will both teams score in Zielona Gora vs Hutnik Kraków?
The model gives a 64% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Zielona Gora vs Hutnik Kraków?
Expected goals are 2.44 for Zielona Gora and 1.6 for Hutnik Kraków — about 4.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zielona Gora vs Hutnik Kraków?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (8%). Double chance for Zielona Gora or draw is 75%.