Zielona Gora vs Kleczew Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Zielona Gora vs Kleczew
Model pick: Zielona Gora (47%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.83 – 1.3
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zielona Gora | Kleczew |
|---|
| League position | #11 (2 pts) | #12 (2 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.8 | 2.0 / 0.8 |
*Zielona Gora shown at home, Kleczew shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zielona Gora — last 5
LWLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Kleczew — last 5
WLWDD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 70% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zielona Gora (home) | Kleczew (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-2-0 in 2 (1.5 / 1.5 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.83 vs 1.3):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Zielona Gora or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Kleczew or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Zielona Gora clean sheet | 27% |
| Kleczew clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zielona Gora is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Zielona Gora are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zielona Gora vs Kleczew — FAQ
Who will win Zielona Gora vs Kleczew?
Our statistical model makes Zielona Gora the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Zielona Gora 47%, draw 24%, Kleczew 28%.
Will both teams score in Zielona Gora vs Kleczew?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Zielona Gora vs Kleczew?
Expected goals are 1.83 for Zielona Gora and 1.3 for Kleczew — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zielona Gora vs Kleczew?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Zielona Gora or draw is 73%.