Zira vs Imisli FK Prediction & Preview
Premyer Liqasi (Azerbaijan) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMYER LIQASI (AZERBAIJAN)
Zira vs Imisli FK
Model pick: Zira (55%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.34 – 0.46
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 37%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zira | Imisli FK |
|---|
| League position | #2 (3 pts) | #5 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.0 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
*Zira shown at home, Imisli FK shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zira — last 5
LWWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 43% of home games go over 2.5.
Imisli FK — last 5
WDLDD
On the road: clean sheet 56% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zira (home) | Imisli FK (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 56% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 33% |
Premyer Liqasi (Azerbaijan) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.5
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Premyer Liqasi (Azerbaijan) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.34 vs 0.46):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (22%) |
| Double chance — Zira or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — Imisli FK or draw (X2) | 41% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 54% / 46% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Zira clean sheet | 63% |
| Imisli FK clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zira is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Zira are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (63% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zira vs Imisli FK — FAQ
Who will win Zira vs Imisli FK?
Our statistical model makes Zira the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: Zira 55%, draw 30%, Imisli FK 15%.
Will both teams score in Zira vs Imisli FK?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Zira vs Imisli FK?
Expected goals are 1.34 for Zira and 0.46 for Imisli FK — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zira vs Imisli FK?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (22%). Double chance for Zira or draw is 87%.