Zlín vs Teplice Prediction & Preview
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECH LIGA (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Zlín vs Teplice
Model pick: Zlín (37%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.33 – 1.28
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zlín | Teplice |
|---|
| League position | #16 (0 pts) | #6 (10 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 1.3 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 2.4 |
*Zlín shown at home, Teplice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zlín — last 5
LLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Teplice — last 5
WDLLW
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zlín (home) | Teplice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-3 in 3 (0.0 / 1.3 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 49% |
| Top scorer | Tomas Poznar (6) | Michal Bilek (7) |
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.67
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.33 vs 1.28):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Zlín or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance — Teplice or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Zlín clean sheet | 28% |
| Teplice clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zlín is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Zlín are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zlín vs Teplice — FAQ
Who will win Zlín vs Teplice?
Our statistical model makes Zlín the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Zlín 37%, draw 27%, Teplice 36%.
Will both teams score in Zlín vs Teplice?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Zlín vs Teplice?
Expected goals are 1.33 for Zlín and 1.28 for Teplice — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zlín vs Teplice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Zlín or draw is 64%.