Znicz Pruszków vs Hutnik Kraków Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Znicz Pruszków vs Hutnik Kraków
Model pick: Znicz Pruszków (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.06
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Znicz Pruszków | Hutnik Kraków |
|---|
| League position | #3 (13 pts) | #1 (14 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.8 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.2 | 2.0 / 1.2 |
*Znicz Pruszków shown at home, Hutnik Kraków shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Znicz Pruszków — last 5
WWLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Hutnik Kraków — last 5
LWWDW
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Znicz Pruszków (home) | Hutnik Kraków (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-1-1 in 4 (1.0 / 0.8 goals per game) | 1-2-0 in 3 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 45% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.34 vs 1.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Znicz Pruszków or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Hutnik Kraków or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Znicz Pruszków clean sheet | 35% |
| Hutnik Kraków clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Znicz Pruszków is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Znicz Pruszków are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Znicz Pruszków vs Hutnik Kraków — FAQ
Who will win Znicz Pruszków vs Hutnik Kraków?
Our statistical model makes Znicz Pruszków the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Znicz Pruszków 42%, draw 28%, Hutnik Kraków 30%.
Will both teams score in Znicz Pruszków vs Hutnik Kraków?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Znicz Pruszków vs Hutnik Kraków?
Expected goals are 1.34 for Znicz Pruszków and 1.06 for Hutnik Kraków — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Znicz Pruszków vs Hutnik Kraków?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Znicz Pruszków or draw is 70%.