Znicz Pruszków vs Legia II Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Jul 31, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Znicz Pruszków vs Legia II
Model pick: Znicz Pruszków (77%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.84 – 0.08
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 24%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Znicz Pruszków | Legia II |
|---|
| League position | #1 (3 pts) | #7 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.0 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.0 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
*Znicz Pruszków shown at home, Legia II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Znicz Pruszków — last 5
WWLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Legia II — last 5
LWLDL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Znicz Pruszków (home) | Legia II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 67% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.74
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.84 vs 0.08):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (27%) |
| Double chance — Znicz Pruszków or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Legia II or draw (X2) | 18% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Znicz Pruszków clean sheet | 92% |
| Legia II clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Znicz Pruszków is the model's most likely outcome at
77%. Znicz Pruszków are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Znicz Pruszków vs Legia II — FAQ
Who will win Znicz Pruszków vs Legia II?
Our statistical model makes Znicz Pruszków the most likely result at 77%. Full probabilities: Znicz Pruszków 77%, draw 20%, Legia II 2%.
Will both teams score in Znicz Pruszków vs Legia II?
The model gives a 24% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Znicz Pruszków vs Legia II?
Expected goals are 1.84 for Znicz Pruszków and 0.08 for Legia II — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Znicz Pruszków vs Legia II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (27%). Double chance for Znicz Pruszków or draw is 99%.