Znicz Pruszków vs Świt Skolwin Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Znicz Pruszków vs Świt Skolwin
Model pick: Znicz Pruszków (50%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.8 – 1.15
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Znicz Pruszków | Świt Skolwin |
|---|
| League position | #2 (9 pts) | #18 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.7 | 0.0 / 4.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 67% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.8 | 1.0 / 3.4 |
*Znicz Pruszków shown at home, Świt Skolwin shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Znicz Pruszków — last 5
WWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Świt Skolwin — last 5
LLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 13% of the time; 63% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Znicz Pruszków (home) | Świt Skolwin (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-1 in 3 (1.0 / 0.7 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.0 / 4.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 13% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 63% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.8 vs 1.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Znicz Pruszków or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Świt Skolwin or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Znicz Pruszków clean sheet | 32% |
| Świt Skolwin clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Znicz Pruszków is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Znicz Pruszków are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Znicz Pruszków vs Świt Skolwin — FAQ
Who will win Znicz Pruszków vs Świt Skolwin?
Our statistical model makes Znicz Pruszków the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Znicz Pruszków 50%, draw 25%, Świt Skolwin 26%.
Will both teams score in Znicz Pruszków vs Świt Skolwin?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Znicz Pruszków vs Świt Skolwin?
Expected goals are 1.8 for Znicz Pruszków and 1.15 for Świt Skolwin — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Znicz Pruszków vs Świt Skolwin?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Znicz Pruszków or draw is 76%.