Zob Ahan vs Foolad Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Zob Ahan vs Foolad
Model pick: Zob Ahan (34%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.91 – 0.86
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 36%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zob Ahan | Foolad |
|---|
| League position | #10 (0 pts) | #5 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 0.8 | 2.4 / 1.0 |
*Zob Ahan shown at home, Foolad shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zob Ahan — last 5
DDWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 43% of the time; 30% of home games go over 2.5.
Foolad — last 5
WDWWW
On the road: clean sheet 38% of the time; 30% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zob Ahan (home) | Foolad (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 43% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 30% |
| Top scorer | Milad Zakipour (1) | – |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 42%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.91 vs 0.86):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Zob Ahan or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Foolad or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 67% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 53% / 47% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| Zob Ahan clean sheet | 42% |
| Foolad clean sheet | 40% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zob Ahan is the model's most likely outcome at
34%. Zob Ahan are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (64% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zob Ahan vs Foolad — FAQ
Who will win Zob Ahan vs Foolad?
Our statistical model makes Zob Ahan the most likely result at 34%. Full probabilities: Zob Ahan 34%, draw 33%, Foolad 32%.
Will both teams score in Zob Ahan vs Foolad?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Zob Ahan vs Foolad?
Expected goals are 0.91 for Zob Ahan and 0.86 for Foolad — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zob Ahan vs Foolad?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (17%). Double chance for Zob Ahan or draw is 68%.