Zob Ahan vs Mes Shahr Babak Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Aug 24, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Zob Ahan vs Mes Shahr Babak
Model pick: Zob Ahan (88%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.72 – 0.1
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 27%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zob Ahan | Mes Shahr Babak |
|---|
| League position | #12 (1 pts) | #18 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 4.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 0.8 | 1.25 / 1.25 |
*Zob Ahan shown at home, Mes Shahr Babak shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zob Ahan — last 5
DWLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 43% of the time; 30% of home games go over 2.5.
Mes Shahr Babak — last 5
WDWL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zob Ahan (home) | Mes Shahr Babak (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 4.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 43% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 67% |
| Top scorer | Milad Zakipour (1) | – |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.72 vs 0.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (22%) |
| Double chance — Zob Ahan or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Mes Shahr Babak or draw (X2) | 8% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Zob Ahan clean sheet | 90% |
| Mes Shahr Babak clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zob Ahan is the model's most likely outcome at
88%. Zob Ahan are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zob Ahan vs Mes Shahr Babak — FAQ
Who will win Zob Ahan vs Mes Shahr Babak?
Our statistical model makes Zob Ahan the most likely result at 88%. Full probabilities: Zob Ahan 88%, draw 11%, Mes Shahr Babak 1%.
Will both teams score in Zob Ahan vs Mes Shahr Babak?
The model gives a 27% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Zob Ahan vs Mes Shahr Babak?
Expected goals are 2.72 for Zob Ahan and 0.1 for Mes Shahr Babak — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zob Ahan vs Mes Shahr Babak?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (22%). Double chance for Zob Ahan or draw is 99%.