Zob Ahan vs Paykan Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Sep 02, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Zob Ahan vs Paykan
Model pick: Zob Ahan (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.98 – 0.67
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 34%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zob Ahan | Paykan |
|---|
| League position | #12 (2 pts) | #9 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.5 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.0 |
*Zob Ahan shown at home, Paykan shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zob Ahan — last 5
LLDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 43% of the time; 30% of home games go over 2.5.
Paykan — last 5
DDLDW
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 36% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zob Ahan (home) | Paykan (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-2-0 in 2 (0.5 / 0.5 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.5 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 43% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 36% |
| Top scorer | Milad Zakipour (1) | – |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 42%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.98 vs 0.67):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Zob Ahan or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Paykan or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 66% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Zob Ahan clean sheet | 51% |
| Paykan clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zob Ahan is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Zob Ahan are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (66% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zob Ahan vs Paykan — FAQ
Who will win Zob Ahan vs Paykan?
Our statistical model makes Zob Ahan the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Zob Ahan 40%, draw 34%, Paykan 26%.
Will both teams score in Zob Ahan vs Paykan?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Zob Ahan vs Paykan?
Expected goals are 0.98 for Zob Ahan and 0.67 for Paykan — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zob Ahan vs Paykan?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (19%). Double chance for Zob Ahan or draw is 76%.