Zug vs Buochs Prediction & Preview
1 Liga Classic (Switzerland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1 LIGA CLASSIC (SWITZERLAND)
Zug vs Buochs
Model pick: Zug (61%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.62 – 2.12
Total goals: 5.7
Over 2.5: 81%
Both teams score: 72%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zug | Buochs |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.25 / 2.25 | 2.0 / 2.4 |
*Zug shown at home, Buochs shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zug — last 5
LLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Buochs — last 5
WLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zug (home) | Buochs (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
1 Liga Classic (Switzerland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 70%
BTTS: 72%
Use these 1 Liga Classic (Switzerland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.62 vs 2.12):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-2 (6%) |
| Double chance — Zug or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Buochs or draw (X2) | 34% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Zug clean sheet | 12% |
| Buochs clean sheet | 3% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zug is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. Zug are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.7, this shapes as an open game (81% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zug vs Buochs — FAQ
Who will win Zug vs Buochs?
Our statistical model makes Zug the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: Zug 61%, draw 17%, Buochs 22%.
Will both teams score in Zug vs Buochs?
The model gives a 72% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Zug vs Buochs?
Expected goals are 3.62 for Zug and 2.12 for Buochs — about 5.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zug vs Buochs?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-2 (6%). Double chance for Zug or draw is 80%.