Zulte Waregem vs Genk Prediction & Preview
Pro League (Belgium) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRO LEAGUE (BELGIUM)
Zulte Waregem vs Genk
Model pick: Genk (44%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.37 – 1.8
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zulte Waregem | Genk |
|---|
| League position | #13 (0 pts) | #8 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.8 | 1.0 / 2.2 |
*Zulte Waregem shown at home, Genk shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zulte Waregem — last 5
WWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 19% of the time; 64% of home games go over 2.5.
Genk — last 5
LLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 62% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zulte Waregem (home) | Genk (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 19% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 62% |
| Top scorer | Joseph Opoku (10) | – |
Pro League (Belgium) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Pro League (Belgium) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.37 vs 1.8):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Zulte Waregem or draw (1X) | 52% |
| Double chance — Genk or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Zulte Waregem clean sheet | 17% |
| Genk clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Genk is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Despite playing away, Genk edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zulte Waregem vs Genk — FAQ
Who will win Zulte Waregem vs Genk?
Our statistical model makes Genk the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Zulte Waregem 30%, draw 26%, Genk 44%.
Will both teams score in Zulte Waregem vs Genk?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Zulte Waregem vs Genk?
Expected goals are 1.37 for Zulte Waregem and 1.8 for Genk — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zulte Waregem vs Genk?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Zulte Waregem or draw is 52%.