Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor Prediction & Preview
Super Lig (Turkey) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIG (TURKEY)
Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor
Model pick: Alanyaspor (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.12
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Eyüpspor | Alanyaspor |
|---|
| League position | #16 (0 pts) | #6 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
*Eyüpspor shown at home, Alanyaspor shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Eyüpspor — last 5
DWWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 41% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Alanyaspor — last 5
LDDDW
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Eyüpspor (home) | Alanyaspor (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 41% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 41% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 49% |
Super Lig (Turkey) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.81
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Super Lig (Turkey) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.26 vs 1.12):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Eyüpspor or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Alanyaspor or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Eyüpspor clean sheet | 33% |
| Alanyaspor clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Alanyaspor is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Alanyaspor edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor — FAQ
Who will win Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor?
Our statistical model makes Alanyaspor the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Eyüpspor 33%, draw 28%, Alanyaspor 38%.
Will both teams score in Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor?
Expected goals are 1.26 for Eyüpspor and 1.12 for Alanyaspor — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Eyüpspor or draw is 67%.