Truro City vs Dag & Red Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Truro City vs Dag & Red
Model pick: Truro City (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.45 – 0.95
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Truro City | Dag & Red |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 0.6 |
*Truro City shown at home, Dag & Red shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Truro City — last 5
LWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Dag & Red — last 5
LWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 41% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Truro City (home) | Dag & Red (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 41% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 48% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.45 vs 0.95):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Truro City or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Double chance — Dag & Red or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Truro City clean sheet | 39% |
| Dag & Red clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Truro City is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Truro City are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Truro City vs Dag & Red — FAQ
Who will win Truro City vs Dag & Red?
Our statistical model makes Truro City the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Truro City 46%, draw 28%, Dag & Red 26%.
Will both teams score in Truro City vs Dag & Red?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Truro City vs Dag & Red?
Expected goals are 1.45 for Truro City and 0.95 for Dag & Red — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Truro City vs Dag & Red?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Truro City or draw is 75%.